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The Most Overleveraged Institution On The Planet

by Da King on December 30, 2008

in economics,federal spending,Uncategorized

No, it's not Wall Street. It's the U.S. government.

A joint report from the White House budget office and the Treasury Department showed that the federal government's spending commitments soared by 25% in 2008, putting taxpayers another $1 trillion in the hole. What's even worse is, the government's fiscal year ends in september, so those numbers don't include the $800 billion financial bailout or other federal spending in the last calendar quarter of 2008. You might as well call the calendar year 2008 deficit a $2 trillion hole, and that's only if you don't count the growth of the government's unfunded liabilities (the government doesn't count it), which are estimated to grow at a rate of $2 trillion annually. That makes the real federal deficit for 2008 approximately $4 trillion. And that number doesn't count all the state and local government deficits. I don't even have a figure for that, but I know the states and localities are also looking for our broke federal government to bail them out, so they cannot be solvent. Let's guess-timate the entire government deficit for 2008 to be $5-6 trillion.

That sounds like a jet plane heading 500mph into an economic mountain side to me.

I think this should end the "Bush is a conservative" talk, at least when it comes to economics. And president-elect Obama is pushing another $850 billion stimulus package, and another $200 billion for his health care plan, which will undoubtedly cost much more than that. That economic mountain looks like Mt. Everest.

And now for the bad news.

The Washington Times wrote an article about Bush's annual economic (disaster) report, and in it was the following tidbit of information:

The report showed that U.S. debts and liabilities are close to passing the value of the U.S. population's net worth, said Peter G. Peterson Foundation, a nonprofit organization devoted to promoting fiscal responsibility.

Yikes. Our government has committed to spending the entire wealth of all the households in the country. I don't know about you out there, but to me that seems like a VERY BAD THING.

Here's more bad news:

The report said current revenues are sufficient to pay only half of what the government will owe in 30 years and that the government's debt has put the country on a path to "create financial sector instability, increasing risk and uncertainty across many sectors of the U.S. economy."

So, we can either double or triple taxes, an economy killer of an idea if I ever heard one, and one guaranteed to drive us all to the poor house, or we can make radical changes in government, reducing it's size drastically. That's our real world choice.

Too bad we don't have many politicians who live in the real world. Most don't even acknowledge it's existence. The reality is, the United States government is the most overleveraged institution on the entire planet. It's Enron times a billion. When that changes, it will be some real change I can believe in. Until then, our politicians are just blowing smoke, as usual.

  • http://ohio.com Big Mac

    So you are saying that you want Obama to be the one to make the hard choices that the conservative – I got character and morals party would not make. The republicans just ran the country into the ground by not keeping taxes at the levels of the 1990's for everyone and then increase spending. Let's see how conservative is this lower revenue and then increase spending on items that do not and can not increase revenue ggrowth in the US. I knew when Bush talked he was brain damaged, but at least I thought his advisors and the Republican legislature would keep him from doing stuff this stupid.

  • The Reverend

    I don't understand this….

    "The report said current revenues are sufficient to pay only half of what the government will owe in 30 years…"

    My first reaction was …duh.

    Current revenues won't pay for what we'll owe in 30 years.

    Stop the freaking presses.

    Anyone think that "current revenues" will be at the same level in 30 years? It's preposterous.

    We'll simply print money…..devaluating it in the process….and lowering America's standard of living.

    One question I have for you is this…is the economy like gravity, uncontrollable?….or has man created, fabricated economy? Are economic matter like God? Or are economic matters man-made and thus, subject to man's whims.

    Another question….what if we simply refuse to pay America's creditors? What would happen? Who says America has to pay it's debts?

  • The Reverend

    One more thing…..America was the world's bank before Reagan. Now America is the world's biggest debtor.

    Any connection between Reaganomics and our current debtor status?

  • larry d.

    There's a third option, King. Use the military to sack and pillage western Europe and seize all of their resources.

  • frank

    larry d.,
    I think you would get a kick out of "Political Science" by Randy Newman.

  • larry d.

    I will look into it, frank.

  • angry conserv

    King,
    You have nailed the bottom line. So what do we do about it? Most likely people like you, me and The Rev will keep fighting amongst ourselves while those that run the country encourage us to contiune blaming each other while they continue doing what they have been doing for years. And what is that you ask? To praphrase Pres. Eishenhower they will continue to engage in what they see as the their first duty to the country which is to get relected. In other words, more of the same that got us here in the first place.

  • rayy

    Debt as a percentage of GDP is still not the highest it's ever been. True, Reagan and the two Bushes vastly increased the debt, but maybe we can get it back under control now that we have an administration that is committed to growing the economy.

  • frank

    Mr. King,
    Politicians see their primary duty as getting reelected. With the ever growing cost of achieving office, we have ceased to be a government of the people, by the people, and for the people. Our politicians are now captives of their parties and their party's wealthy supporters. Concepts of legality, fairness, and justice are subordinated to the demands of fund raising. This has resulted in the ever increasing gap between the haves and the havenots, with deleterious effects on the middle class, AKA the tax base. Having jettisoned the manufacturing sector of the economy in favor of the financial services sector, we can obviously no longer afford to maintain our self appointed as the world's only superpower. We are bankrupt.

  • Da King

    Big Mac,
    I don't care who restores fiscal sanity to our government, but somebody has to do it. Since Obama wanted to be the president and got his wish, the onus is on him and the current crew in Congress. I don't see any signs yet that he is willing to do what it takes. I see just the opposite from his rhetoric. But I sure agree that Republican did not equal conservative during the Bush years. Cutting taxes while increasing deficit spending isn't really cutting taxes at all, it's just delaying the payment of them.

    Don't exclude Democrats from culpability either. The lion's share of the federal budget is due to them. This isn't just a problem of the last 8 years. It's a problem brought on by the governmental policies of the last 75 years. We've been running deficits that entire time.

  • Da King

    Rev,
    When they say "current revenues", they mean current levels of taxation, so your point is moot. Although revenues will rise in 30 years (hopefully), so will costs, and the costs, particularly in health care, are greatly outpacing revenue. Under the current scenario, we still fall way, way short. We would still have to greatly increase taxes. You don't have to be afraid to admit it. Remember, admitting you have a problem is the first step toward recovery.

    And stop trying to spin things to blame Republicans for absolutely everything. It makes you sound dim. You complain about Reaganomics, a time of great prosperity, and forget about Carternomics, a time of great stagflation, before Reagan. Try to have at least a little perspective.

  • Da King

    larry,
    Ah yes, the World War option for economic recovery. Hey, it worked last time. And they say violence never accomplishes anything.

  • Da King

    angry c.
    I've noticed that when a presidential candidate does come along who represents real change (I'm thinking Ron Paul, Ross Perot, to name a couple who come easily to mind), they are immediately treated as nutjobs by the inside-the-beltway-business-as-usual type pols, and also by the media. The beast does not want to be tamed.

  • Da King

    Well said, frank, though I'd say the actual tax base was the upper middle class and higher. The bottom 50% pay little in taxes, and are therefore of little consequence to the money influenced political power brokers except at election time, if you think about it.

    Here's a quote that might be related to what's happening:

    "We are grateful to The Washington Post, The New York Times, Time Magazine and other great publications whose directors have attended our meetings and respected their promises of discretion for almost forty years. It would have been impossible for us to develop our plan for the world if we had been subject to the bright lights of publicity during those years. But, the world is now more sophisticated and prepared to march towards a world government. The supranational sovereignty of an intellectual elite and world bankers is surely preferable to the national auto determination practiced in past centuries." David Rockefeller, founder of the Trilateral Commission, in an address before that organization in June of 1991.

  • The Reverend

    So it's not the Republican Party who advocates for giving preferential treatment to big money? It's the Tri-Lateral Commission's fault?

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    To % more, town Infact Running?Installed With over, is buzz marketing.The bay You, How do these.Area itself where Trilateral Commission, Charges you didnt to the shoulder.Umsetzen m?chte Wer, year period) July.,

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