Why Is Huckabee Still Winning Primaries?

Why do I keep reading how Obama's getting 80 percent of the black vote just about everywhere, while Hillary's getting 70 percent of the white vote in some areas of the country?

If Obama gets the nomination I fear his corner on the African American market isn't going to give him such a leg up in the general election. It will be interesting, though I'm a racist bigot for allowing the thought to cross my mind, I'm sure.

This is not about this blog. I like to ask you (Reverend ) to do a blog about the democratic primary and what you think about it . Obama so far as I know won 867 delegates vrs Hillary's 832
However since Hillary has 223 in super delegates vrs Obama 131 she is ahead by 1064- to Obama's 1026 .
We also have a mess in Florida and another in Michigan. If you count these votes as is, it isn't fair. But if you dont these voters are left out. If you count the super delegates in this election, well is it much different than Florida's supreme court back in 2004 ? I think this primary is a sham . We have to change the system and not allow Washington insiders and long term relationships with a candidate spouse determine the outcome …what is your take on it?

larry: The numbers you state are from Louisiana. It isn't that you let race cross your mind. It's the SELECTIVE data you decide to use. Washington State, last I heard, was not an African American ghetto. Iowa…ahem…is not known for darker hued citizens.

And how do you respond to the fact that now men are voting for Obama over Hillary?

You say, "…I fear his corner on the African American market isn't going to give him such a leg up in the general election."
Not only is this overstated, IMO, but it disregards the fact that Independents and young people are voting for Barack in huge numbers.

That's why he leads in early polls that match him with McCain. 48%-41%.

Andrea: Excellent suggestion.

Howard Dean is concerned about what could happen with the scenario you correctly outline. I'm concerned about it also.

My understanding is that the Democrats, after the calamity of the 1968 convention, reformed their primary rules.

Once again, just like with the 2000 election, who could have predicted the Hillary/Obama contest would be THIS close?

Until I do a more extensive post on this topic…..I'm hoping for Obama to win one of three big states left…..PA, OH, or TX. That could make a difference…..but because delegates are shared per state according to vote counts…..it doesn't look like there is an easy answer to this problem.

Thank you Andrea for your comment and your suggestion.

Today isn't the first time I've read statistics pretty close to those, Reverend.

The math seems pretty obvious to me–Obama is neck and neck with Hillary despite the fact that black people vote for him at a rate of 70 or 80 percent. That tells me Hillary must be beating him pretty good in the other areas.

Obama's numbers with blacks will probably go up a little against a Republican, but there's only so much higher they can go, isn't there? In any case, his monopoly on the black vote will be much less of an edge because the raw voter numbers will double in the general election. And since the African Americans are already hitting the ballot box pretty hard, those numbers will be increased by more white voters, I'd guess.

Now I'm sure you'll stick with your divided GOP fairy tale, but really you're deluding yourself. McCain's winning in a near-runaway despite what the radio nutjobs think. He's a safe choice for moderates and people have a tendency to vote scared when it comes down to it.

McCain IS the GOP nominee. I don't question that.

But in a matchup with Obama….McCain will lose based on those same moderate and Independent voters you mentioned.

That's why the whiners on the whacked out right are already prepared to lose this November, attack the Dem president for 4 straight years…then try again in 2012.

Good luck with that is all I can say.

Oh yeah, how many blacks are in Maine? Obama is winning there 57-42. He's on a roll. He'll win everything this Tuesday. That will put him at about 27 states.

Why are you writing about a Republican primary race that's over, buddy ? McCain is the nominee. Huck would have to win something like 93% of the delegates from here on out to prevent that, and that ain't gonna happen. The only thing your insulting prose has chronicled here is that Huck does well in the south. That's hardly a surprise to anyone.

The clustermess the Dems have going is much more interesting. Disenfranchised voters (entire states even), polls that turn out to be drastically incorrect, Howie Dean as kingmaker, super delegates nullifying the will of the people, super delegates on Hillary's campaign team…you guys really got it goin' on, LOL. I can't wait for the Michael Moore mockumentary about it. I think he should call it 'Dude, Where's My Candidate ?' The only thing missing is a scandal about Bubba's campaign trail nookie.

Kansas in the south? How about Washington State where the GOP had to stop the vote count?

The Dems will work everything out just fine…. thanks for your concern though.

The forward looking question is…..how in the world are conservatives going to adapt to a Democratic president with a filibuster proof Democratic Congress?

Now there's a question.

I'm not worried about how conservatives are going to adapt to liberal control of the executive and legislative branches of the country in the least. They will adapt. They actually NEED to adapt, since they brought this on themselves (by abandoning conservatism and blindly following the fiscally liberal Bush).

The only thing I'm worried about is how much long term damage to the country liberal control will do. The tired liberal doxology of tax and spend from this point forward will do enormous damage. I can't overstate it. It is exactly the wrong move to make, and it is exactly what liberals will attempt to do. Makes me weep for the future.

My only hope is that the Democrats are just play acting (they usually are, you know), and that once they get into power, they won't do all the irresponsible things they are proposing on the campaign trail.